Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.177366 0.206185 0.238253 0.276595 0.321214 0.371529 0.432617
2025-03-09 0.134276 0.173115 0.221021 0.284525 0.366624 0.469370 0.608037
2025-03-16 0.109089 0.150995 0.206476 0.285441 0.395225 0.542898 0.757401
2025-03-23 0.093554 0.137192 0.198390 0.290695 0.426881 0.621207 0.921034
2025-03-30 0.079188 0.122039 0.185182 0.285307 0.440803 0.674302 1.053905
2025-04-06 0.068723 0.110709 0.175376 0.282611 0.456974 0.731067 1.198097
2025-04-13 0.061034 0.102378 0.168677 0.283210 0.477431 0.795814 1.362206
2025-04-20 0.056966 0.099223 0.169582 0.295862 0.518582 0.898292 1.601633
2025-04-27 0.053030 0.095669 0.169202 0.305973 0.556226 0.998835 1.850346
2025-05-04 0.049356 0.092032 0.168098 0.314420 0.591588 1.099089 2.111040
2025-05-11 0.045279 0.087098 0.163994 0.316681 0.615524 1.180937 2.347235
2025-05-18 0.041053 0.081329 0.157602 0.313677 0.628784 1.243805 2.553978
2025-05-25 0.036466 0.074387 0.148332 0.304242 0.628896 1.282498 2.720359
2025-06-01 0.034361 0.072160 0.148045 0.312883 0.666860 1.401855 3.071504
2025-06-08 0.031719 0.068479 0.144349 0.313894 0.688814 1.490571 3.368543
2025-06-15 0.029805 0.066089 0.143006 0.319680 0.721629 1.606094 3.740345
2025-06-22 0.027097 0.061628 0.136716 0.313746 0.727546 1.663190 3.985858
2025-06-29 0.024918 0.058086 0.132009 0.310777 0.739773 1.735795 4.277604
2025-07-06 0.023225 0.055454 0.129035 0.311437 0.760538 1.830560 4.636004
2025-07-13 0.022578 0.055209 0.131510 0.325370 0.815038 2.012145 5.236470
2025-07-20 0.021777 0.054492 0.132783 0.336506 0.864005 2.186242 5.842048
2025-07-27 0.020911 0.053512 0.133304 0.345809 0.909483 2.357208 6.463392
2025-08-03 0.019728 0.051587 0.131272 0.348299 0.937527 2.486879 6.991026